{"id":5190,"date":"2022-08-16T04:55:00","date_gmt":"2022-08-16T02:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hub.hslu.ch\/management-and-law\/?p=5190"},"modified":"2026-02-11T14:53:45","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T13:53:45","slug":"was-sind-konjunkturprognosen-wert","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hub.hslu.ch\/management-and-law\/2022\/08\/16\/was-sind-konjunkturprognosen-wert\/","title":{"rendered":"Was sind Konjunkturprognosen wert?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n<p>In seinem Beitrag &#171;Konjunkturprognosen genauer anschauen?&#187;, der im Fr\u00fchsommer 2022 in der Rubrik &#171;Blick aus der Wissenschaft&#187; des <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kmu-magazin.ch\/forschung-entwicklung\/konjunkturprognosen-genauer-anschauen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">KMU-Magazins<\/a> erschienen ist, erl\u00e4utert Christoph Hauser zuerst einmal, was Konjunktur \u00fcberhaupt ist und wie sie typischerweise gemessen wird: Konjunktur im engeren Sinne bedeutet, dass bestehende Produktionskapazit\u00e4ten \u00fcber- oder unterdurchschnittlich ausgelastet sind. Als Indikator zur Messung der Konjunktur dient regelm\u00e4ssig das Bruttoinlandprodukt, also die Summe der Wertsch\u00f6pfungen aller Unternehmen eines Landes &#8211; ein Wert, der selbstredend nicht auf den Rappen genau bestimmt werden kann.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Das Einzige, was bez\u00fcglich der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung sicher ist, so die anschaulich dargelegte Meinung Christoph Hausers, ist das st\u00e4ndige Auf und Ab. Allerdings sind die Schwankungen im Konjunkturgeschehen unregelm\u00e4ssig. Und damit bleiben auch Konjunkturprognosen ein unsicheres Gesch\u00e4ft, trotz aller technischen und wissenschaftlichen Fortschritte. Deshalb empfiehlt der \u00d6konom, bei Konjunkturprognosen nicht allzu sehr auf die Kommastellen zu achten und jeweils ein besonderes Augenmerk auf die Daten zu legen, auf denen sie basieren. Denn Prognosen k\u00f6nnen nur so gut sein wie ihre grundlegenden Annahmen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wenn Sie wissen wollen, wie Christoph Hauser Konjunkturschocks wie die Corona-Pandemie oder den Ukraine-Krieg einordnet und was f\u00fcr einen Geheimtipp er hat, wenn es um Konjunkturprognosen geht, lesen Sie seinen ganzen Artikel:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"blue-box\">\n\t<div class=\"row\">\n\t\t<div class=\"col-md-12\">\n\t\t\t<p><strong>KMU-Magazin &#8211; Blick aus der Wissenschaft:<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.kmu-magazin.ch\/forschung-entwicklung\/konjunkturprognosen-genauer-anschauen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong><br \/>\nKonjunkturprognosen genauer anschauen? &#8211; Prof. Dr. Christoph Hauser (25.05.2022)<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Konjunkturprognosen geben Anhaltspunkte zu Entwicklungen des gesamtwirtschaftlichen Umfelds. Weshalb man deren Treffsicherheit weder \u00fcber- noch untersch\u00e4tzen sollte, erl\u00e4utert Prof. Dr. Christoph Hauser, \u00d6konom und Leiter des Kompetenzzentrums Management &amp; Law, in einem k\u00fcrzlich erschienenen Beitrag im KMU-Magazin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":5197,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[252],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5190","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-allgemein"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Was sind Konjunkturprognosen wert? - Management and Law Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hub.hslu.ch\/management-and-law\/2022\/08\/16\/was-sind-konjunkturprognosen-wert\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Was sind Konjunkturprognosen wert? - Management and Law Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Konjunkturprognosen geben Anhaltspunkte zu Entwicklungen des gesamtwirtschaftlichen Umfelds. 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